Observations of a Global Nomad

I just overheard a clip of this speech on CNN and went to look it up, because it just pissed me off. I don’t know if it’s Romney being completely dumb or him styling his speech for dumb people, but let’s just summarize how this is not possible:

  1. Saying you want to wipe out Israel is very different from actually doing it. And this is the case in common law too. Saying “I’m going to rob that bank” will make people suspicious of you but no one can charge you with anything until you actually do it. 
  2. On that note, America has killed vastly more Iraqis than Iran has killed Israelis. Food for thought. This is again because Iran has not attacked Israel. 
  3. If you’re going to go down that route, it’s the equivalent of using international UN branches for your very much personal agenda. No one else cares as much about Iran as the US does (except Israel) and so using the UN Court of Human Rights as your own personal court is totally not cool. 
  4. Genocide is also a hugely tricky topic, and it’s one of the great problems with international law. Even with practically clear cut cases like Rwanda and Bosnia, it takes ages to get your verdict through, because the definition for genocide is still kind of vague. So you can’t just go up to the UNHCR and say “Oh, by the way, I’d like to bring that Iranian fellow in.” 
  5. It’s kind of a gaffe that he said “genocide convention” which suggests that he doesn’t know the difference between the “Geneva Convention” and the UN Court of Human Rights in the Hague. Even if he’d meant Geneva Convention, that’s very much a set of rules for states at war, again, not states, or leaders of states, talking about war. It is mostly to do with fair treatment of prisoners. 
  6. The UNCHR is for war crimes, mostly, and again there has been no war between Iran and Israel. I don’t usually take gaffes too seriously even if they’re funny, but this suggests that he either doesn’t know or doesn’t care which one it is even though they are completely different things. 

All this is besides the fact that Bibi Netanyahu is clearly and unashamedly trying to manipulate the US election. There is literally no other head of state of any other country in the world who would have the balls to do this, but Israel gets away with it. 

And frankly, it offends me not only that Bibi is doing it, but that Romney is now his official spokesperson. It is highly insulting to my, and by relation American voters’, intelligence. 

gedenkenbrauchtwissen:

evensmallthings:

Iran in the 70s

إيران في السبعينات

Source: Antika

Photos from this era in Iran are so interesting and beautiful but they fail to express the nationalist outrage towards the Shah’s westernization.  

World War III?

geopolit:

I have been working on this map, collecting news articles and documenting trends over the past couple years, and was surprised when it revealed that the world is deeply divided by two major spheres of influence that dominate and dictate global affairs.

The two major organizations at the center of this are NATO, and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) headed by Russia and China. Both are military organizations with each member state promising to protect each others interests and come to aid in the event of war.

This setup creates an interesting situation whereby, at its most basic level, if any two nations from differing alliances go to war, it has the potential, through the domino effect, to bring war to every continent of the world. It is this fear of global conflict that creates such tension points as North and South Korea, Israel and Iran and Pakistan and India.

Ultimately, the global powers of the United States, Russia and China don’t want to go to war but neither is willing to cave to the influence of the other. This simple division of the world helps to explain almost every decision made on the global stage in recent years and will be a good prediction of how nations will interact in the years to come.

Soo… I’m curious about a few things: 

Firstly, I really don’t think it’s possible to divide the world so neatly into spheres of influence. Not only is it no longer the Cold War Era, but every country frankly has rather complicated politics. I have personal experience in some of these countries, and quite honestly South East Asia, for example, is divided between being in China’s bed as it rises or banding together to resist its influence. 

Vietnam, in particular, has had a hard time warming up to China because, well, China invaded it several times. They haven’t forgotten that. 

Turkey might not be all that approving of its European allies but it IS still part of NATO. It’s certainly not closer to China than it is to the West. 

What is Belarus doing there in blue at all? Last I checked… Luvchenko was anything but pro-Western. 

Also, Africa is really not so cut-and-dry… 

Basically saying, countries may not be pro-Western but that doesn’t mean that they’re necessarily pro-China. 

In any case, with development going so fast in so many countries, analysts are still leaning towards a multipolar world. where America is the strongest of several strong nations all with their own spheres of influence. Although the BRIC idea is losing tract, other predictions haven’t quite nudged it off the pedestal… and yet it still poses an interesting hypothetical future. 

The [Obama] administration has handled its allies, Russia, China, the United Nations and even Tehran with skill. To succeed, however, it has to tackle its most formidable foe, with whom it has not had much negotiating success so far: Republicans
Fareed Zakaria
thepoliticalnotebook:

Picture of the Day. Gaza City. A Palestinian fires in air during the funeral of Mohammed Daher. An Egyptian-brokered truce between Israel and Palestine has tapered the back and forth attacks that left 25 Palestinians dead in Gaza over the past four days. No Israeli casualties have been reported. 
News: Reports say that Israel sees this “mini” battle with Gaza as a warm-up or test run for military action against Iran, and a way to test out its Iron Dome missile defense system. This system apparently worked so far.
Photo Credit: Hatem Moussa/AP. Via.
View more Picture of the Day posts. Submit a photo.

One of the most interesting things to note about any conflict between Israelis and Palestinians or Lebanese are the casualty numbers. 
While of course it’s obvious and makes sense that Israel is a modern military while Palestine and Hezbollah have militias at best, so it’s only natural that Israel suffer much less… the Israeli reaction to those casualties is disproportionate. 
Every time there’s a conflict, hundreds of Palestinians or Lebanese die, to usually less than a hundred, or much less than that, of Israelis. But every Israeli dead is considered an outrage and they respond with overwhelming force. Rocket attacks from Hamas or Hezbollah tend to have more of a psychological effect than a physical effect since, again, very few Israelis actually die. On the other hand, when Israel attacks, the opposing side always has great loss of life. 
And yet media portrayal tends to balance out the costs. It’s true that all deaths are tragic, but in the grim and bloody algebra of survival and death, numbers really do matter.
Israel, contrary to whatever its leaders feel (leftover from the Cold War) is no longer fighting for survival against the entire Arab world. Despite what many groups say, “wiping Israel off the map” is no longer an attainable goal and shouldn’t really be taken seriously. So Israel spends most of its time fighting Palestinians and Hezbollah. By that comparison, Israel is clearly the more powerful and has the potential to facilitate peace. 
And anyway, even if the whole Arab world were still conspiring to destroy Israel, Israel is estimated to have over 100 nuclear weapons. If it wanted to, it could probably destroy the Middle East. It would destroy itself in the process, but the point is the possession of nuclear weapons as a deterrent to warfare. It’s another opportunity for peace, but instead Israel uses it to guarantee security from formal warfare from other nations, while pacifying its local troubles from Palestinians and Hezbollah. 
All in all, the ball has long been in Israel’s court. But it has little to no interest in playing the game for peace. 

thepoliticalnotebook:

Picture of the DayGaza City. A Palestinian fires in air during the funeral of Mohammed Daher. An Egyptian-brokered truce between Israel and Palestine has tapered the back and forth attacks that left 25 Palestinians dead in Gaza over the past four days. No Israeli casualties have been reported. 

News: Reports say that Israel sees this “mini” battle with Gaza as a warm-up or test run for military action against Iran, and a way to test out its Iron Dome missile defense system. This system apparently worked so far.

Photo Credit: Hatem Moussa/AP. Via.

View more Picture of the Day posts. Submit a photo.

One of the most interesting things to note about any conflict between Israelis and Palestinians or Lebanese are the casualty numbers. 

While of course it’s obvious and makes sense that Israel is a modern military while Palestine and Hezbollah have militias at best, so it’s only natural that Israel suffer much less… the Israeli reaction to those casualties is disproportionate. 

Every time there’s a conflict, hundreds of Palestinians or Lebanese die, to usually less than a hundred, or much less than that, of Israelis. But every Israeli dead is considered an outrage and they respond with overwhelming force. Rocket attacks from Hamas or Hezbollah tend to have more of a psychological effect than a physical effect since, again, very few Israelis actually die. On the other hand, when Israel attacks, the opposing side always has great loss of life. 

And yet media portrayal tends to balance out the costs. It’s true that all deaths are tragic, but in the grim and bloody algebra of survival and death, numbers really do matter.

Israel, contrary to whatever its leaders feel (leftover from the Cold War) is no longer fighting for survival against the entire Arab world. Despite what many groups say, “wiping Israel off the map” is no longer an attainable goal and shouldn’t really be taken seriously. So Israel spends most of its time fighting Palestinians and Hezbollah. By that comparison, Israel is clearly the more powerful and has the potential to facilitate peace. 

And anyway, even if the whole Arab world were still conspiring to destroy Israel, Israel is estimated to have over 100 nuclear weapons. If it wanted to, it could probably destroy the Middle East. It would destroy itself in the process, but the point is the possession of nuclear weapons as a deterrent to warfare. It’s another opportunity for peace, but instead Israel uses it to guarantee security from formal warfare from other nations, while pacifying its local troubles from Palestinians and Hezbollah. 

All in all, the ball has long been in Israel’s court. But it has little to no interest in playing the game for peace. 

If [the Iranians] obtain nuclear weapons capability, then I think other nations across the Middle East will want to develop nuclear weapons. And so, the most serious round of nuclear proliferation since nuclear weapons were invented would have begun with all the destabilising effects in the Middle East.

British Foreign Secretary William Hague

With respect, sir, I think your head is stuck up inside your bum, because (based on 2010 figures): 

USA: 8,500
Russia: 11,000
UK: 225
France: 300
China: 240
India: 80-100
Pakistan: 90-110
North Korea: <10
Israel (undeclared): 80-200

Iran: 0. Maybe 1. Later on.  

The way that the American media looks at the world is very nationalistic. It’s very simple-minded and very, kind of xenophobic. The idea always is that whoever has any tension with the United States is inherently the evil party and the United States is never the aggressor. We’re simply the victims and the more tension there is between two nations the more they see that other nation as evil.

Glenn Greenwald talks to Cenk Uygur about the American media’s coverage of Iran and the world beyond. (via kileyrae)

The default place, no matter the news network in America, is pretty much that. 

When people feel the need to criticize American actions in the media, it’s usually with a political motive: eg. Fox criticizing Obama for anything he does in foreign policy. 

And like I said about Israel and its bluster against Iran, it’s really much the same. Throw enough bluster, people will start thumping their chests. 

An Israel-Iran war is probably inevitable.

You probably heard in the news that a few bombs went off in Israel. Israel is already pointing fingers at Iran. 

Prior to that, of course, it was saying that it would bomb Iranian nuclear development facilities. 

The point is that no matter what the facts are, war is probably inevitable. You can tell this because the rhetoric is up, and Israeli politicians have started rolling their war drums. They’re telling everyone why they should, giving themselves reasons to prepare for war, and don’t sound like they’re looking for a peaceful resolution. 

The US is unlikely to actually hold them back from this folly, and they’re the only country which could. And Israel seems pretty dead set on justifying an attack on Iran. 

Iran, thus far very stubborn, isn’t likely to discourage them either. 

Complete list of evidence proving that Iran has nuclear weapons
kileyrae:

(CNN) After Iran threat, U.S. aircraft carrier goes through Strait of Hormuz flanked by British and French ships without incident.

As far as I&#8217;m aware, an American &#8220;Carrier Battle Group&#8221; is the most powerful military formation ever. All it needs is one nuclear powered Aircraft Carrier and the various escort and support ships to move into an area to make a heavy security presence and play the Clausewitzian game of power. 
And the US has, to my knowledge, 7 of these on patrol around the world. 
France had two, the UK had one. That&#8217;s before the cutting of the defense budget last year, and now the plan is to &#8220;share&#8221; one carrier between them. I think that&#8217;s still in process. It&#8217;s been a while, I forgot. 
But America still has 7. 

kileyrae:

(CNN) After Iran threat, U.S. aircraft carrier goes through Strait of Hormuz flanked by British and French ships without incident.

As far as I’m aware, an American “Carrier Battle Group” is the most powerful military formation ever. All it needs is one nuclear powered Aircraft Carrier and the various escort and support ships to move into an area to make a heavy security presence and play the Clausewitzian game of power. 

And the US has, to my knowledge, 7 of these on patrol around the world. 

France had two, the UK had one. That’s before the cutting of the defense budget last year, and now the plan is to “share” one carrier between them. I think that’s still in process. It’s been a while, I forgot. 

But America still has 7. 

At the start of 2012, here are the four countries we all need to watch closely: Italy, Iran, Pakistan and North Korea.

The discussion everywhere these days is about Iran’s strength. Mitt Romney, the Republican front-runner, describes Iran as “the greatest threat that the world faces over the next decade.” He and others are impressed by Iran’s recent declarations about its nuclear capacities and its missile tests. Newt Gingrich has compared the Iranian challenge to the rise of Hitler’s Germany. More measured commentators also see Iran’s rising influence and power across the Middle East.

In fact, the real story is that Iran is weak and getting weaker. Sanctions have pushed its economy into a nose-dive. The political system is fractured and fragmenting. Abroad, its closest ally and the regime of which it is almost the sole supporter - Syria - is itself crumbling. The Persian Gulf monarchies have banded together against Iran and shored up their relations with Washington. Last week, Saudi Arabia closed its largest-ever purchase of U.S. weaponry. Meanwhile, Europe is close to approving even more intense sanctions against Tehran.

Unfortunately the leadership in Iran has a track record of opposing freedom of expression, both online and on the street. The regime has tried to impose an electronic curtain by disrupting cell phones and Internet and social media. This is one more effort to try to get around that curtain and get information directly to the Iranian people.

U.S. opens online embassy for Iran

The United States unveiled its first “virtual embassy” Tuesday, the latest attempt to reach over the Iranian regime and speak directly to the Iranian people.

The new website - at tehran.usembassy.gov - will provide visa applications, information on how Iranian students can study at American universities and a section speaking directly to the stressful relationship between the two countries.

And State Department officials say they are confident the website, which will be in both English and Farsi, can withstand efforts by the Iranian regime to knock it down.

(via kileyrae)

liberal-linguaphile:

politicalthinker:

brosephstalin:

womp womp

Also, Michele, lets not close the embassy on the moon. Shit is important.

Because the Lunar People kept us from coming back. She learned that on the Intelligence Committee. Oops. 

In the latest sign of deteriorating relations with the West, around 20 Iranian protesters entered the British Embassy compound in Tehran chanting “death to England,” tearing down a British flag and ransacking offices, news reports said.

The episode came a day after Iran enacted legislation on Monday to downgrade relations with Britain in retaliation for intensified sanctions imposed by Western nations last week to punish the Iranians for their suspect nuclear development program. Britain promised to respond “robustly.”

The British Foreign Office in London said it was “aware of the reports” from Tehran about its embassy on Tuesday, but declined to comment further. There was no immediate word on the whereabouts of the embassy staff.

The Associated Press indentified the intruders as hard-line Iranian students, who were said to have burst into the building and thrown documents from windows. They also chanted: “The Embassy of Britain should be taken over.”

The episode was shown live on Iranian state television. The invaders threw stones at windows, and one was seen climbing over the high wall around the compound with an apparently looted portrait of Queen Elizabeth II. While some reports said the protesters clashed with riot police, other accounts said the authorities did nothing to prevent the attack.

While a small group of people entered the embassy, hundreds more gathered outside demanding the immediate departure of the British ambassador.

It was not immediately clear if the episode was supposed to mirror the storming of the American Embassy in 1979 that led to the enduring breach in diplomatic relations with Washington.

The New York Times, “Tehran Protesters Storm British Embassy” (via inothernews)

As ever with Iran, one can’t help but wonder with skepticism or cynicism. 

Skepticism regarding the “random” nature of an attack like this. The Iranian government has organized its own protests against the West before as publicity stunts. 

Cynicism regarding the reasonable possibility that it really is a random expression of emotion of a mob. It’s more than just possible.